Blalock's HR in ninth lifts Rangers over Angels
Baseball Betting Lines
07/02/2009 - Arlington, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hank Blalock went 3-for-5 with a pair of home runs, including a two-run blast in the bottom of the ninth inning, to lift the Rangers past the Angels, 9-7, in the rubber match of a three-game series.
After the Angels scored three runs in the top of the ninth to tie the game, Los Angeles sent Justin Speier (3-2) to the mound in the bottom half. Michael Young stroked a single to center to begin the inning, but David Murphy and Marlon Byrd recorded two quick outs. Blalock then stepped to the plate and belted a first-pitch fastball over the center-field wall to give Texas the improbable win.
Young went 3-for-5 with an RBI for the Rangers, who have won two straight after a three-game skid. Chris Davis drove in a pair of runs, while Murphy and Julio Borbon each knocked in a run.
Frank Francisco (2-1) picked up the win despite giving up three runs on two hits in the ninth. Francisco blew his second save of the season. Starter Kevin Millwood went 6 1/3 frames, allowing four runs on eight hits with four strikeouts and three walks.
Juan Rivera went 2-for-5 with a three-run homer in the ninth for the Angels, who have dropped two in a row after a six-game winning streak. Torii Hunter stroked a two-run double, while Maicer Izturis and Chone Figgins each drove in a run.
Jered Weaver went 5 1/3 frames, allowing seven runs on eight hits with three strikeouts for LA.
The Rangers thought they had the game all wrapped up when they sent Francisco to the mound in the top of the ninth with a three-run cushion. In fact, Francisco was down to the last out of the game despite walking Bobby Abreu and Hunter. But Rivera stepped to the plate and drove a 2-0 fastball just over the wall in right-center field to deadlock the contest.
The Rangers scored a pair of runs in the fourth inning to break a scoreless contest. Blalock got things started with a one-out, solo home run over the wall in right-center field. Nelson Cruz then singled, stole second, and scored on Davis' single to right.
Los Angeles plated a run in the top of the sixth to cut the deficit to one. Vladimir Guerrero and Rivera singled to put men on the corners with one out. Izturis stepped to the plate and lined into a sacrifice double play.
Texas responded with five runs in the home half of the frame to extend its margin to 7-1. Byrd walked and Blalock doubled to put men on second and third with nobody out. Pinch-hitter Borbon then stroked an RBI single, before Blalock scored on a wild pitch. Davis added an RBI groundout, while Young and Murphy hit RBI singles later in the frame.
The Angels put a three-spot on the board in the seventh. Erick Aybar hit a one-out single, advanced to second on Borbon's fielding error, and scored on Figgins' triple to center. After Abreu walked, Hunter stroked a two-run double to right. Darren O'Day got the Rangers out of a jam after taking over for Millwood on the hill.
Game Notes
LA finished a six-game road trip with a 4-2 record...Cruz left the game in the bottom of the sixth with a stiff back...The Rangers have now won six of their last eight matchups with LA and swept a three-game set from the Angels in Arlington from May 15-17...Texas will welcome the Tampa Bay Rays to town for a three-game set, starting Friday. LA will begin a 10-game homestand with a four-game set with the Baltimore Orioles, starting Thursday.
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Sportsbook Betting Lines
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Why Sports Betting Lines Change
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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